View Single Post
Unread 11-22-2004, 01:18 PM   #576
Lothar5150
Cooling Savant
 
Lothar5150's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Surf City USA
Posts: 433
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by unregistered
sooner or later, the population has to be addressed
and we MUST do first at home what we would then tell others to do

There is an interesting article in the May/June issue of Foreign Affairs, called The Global Baby Bust (Phillip Longman). Longman's major premise is that the world population growth is actually now on the backside of the curve. He makes a very good argument based on hard data.

Some of his ideas on China's long-term economic growth are interesting, basically they have only about 20 years of sustained economic growth then their population will dramatically decline thus dramatically shrinking there economy. He sites the ratio of men to women in China.

Most interesting is his view of the EU. He shows that countries like France are "living dead" because the average age of their native populations are past their productive years and going into retirement. Moreover, that the younger populations of African and ME coming into EU countries are not highly skilled.

It is a very interesting read. One that changed my perspective on a few long held assumptions of our world.
Lothar5150 is offline