I can't say what the exact performance is going to be, especially when you haven't said what blocks you are going to use. I couldn't even say if you told me what blocks (other variables intrude). However, I can tell you that a decent block and good routing with the above will probably work at stock CPU speeds with a single 120mm fan.
I don't overclock Intel CPUs, so I'm going to stay mum on that too. Sorry! It should work, though.
All that's to say that if you want QUIET, you should stick with 120mm fans, not 140mm or 192mm fans. The quietest fans are 120mm (as far as I have seen). Nexus 120mm fans are nice and quiet and work well with the PA160.1 line. You won't get minimum load temps with a single fan, but it probably won't affect overclocking that much if you design your loop and airflow correctly. Again, others can speak to overclocking P4's better than I.
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