Firstly, no where in that quote does John Carmack say January..."before the end of next year" is roughly 17 months away.
Secondly, I'm sure the time frame and over all scope of the 'rendering farm in a box' analogy was meant as an exclamation point on the future of the industry...he was being emphatical.
Quote:
If you just stop and think about the feasibility of what he's saying.
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I agree with you.
Although, you could render Lord of The Rings on a single PC right now if you want to get right down to it...
It would just bog production down, and set the completion back by oh...10 years.
A half hour 'Toy Story' like TV show would be a lot less taxing than a 90 minute LOTR quality production.(I haven't seen Pixar do anything near that caliber anyway

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I wasn't trying to start a debate, with that quote, I was just using it in a 'makes-you-wonder' sense.
The future is bright, and I know we can all agree on that.