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#601 | |
Cooling Neophyte
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Texas
Posts: 28
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#602 | |
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: USA - Boston area
Posts: 798
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I know Iraqis don't typically regard themselves as Arabs, and the few Arabs I've known (early 70's Beruit) didn't regard Iraqis as Arabs - but many folks here in the States use "Arab" to mean "Islamic and near Arabia" (so Persian Gulf, too - but not Israel). If you are looking for examples of Islamic democracies a bit closer than Indonesia, why not Turkey? The might not be Arabs, but they did used to oppress them ![]() Or did you mean "Islamic democracy with oil"? Like maybe one of the ex-Soviet *-istans...? |
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#603 | |||
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Surf City USA
Posts: 433
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Kabuchi, I have two questions; one do you fundamentally believe in democracy and Two what will you say after the elections in January? Quote:
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#604 | ||
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Surf City USA
Posts: 433
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#605 | |
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: USA - Boston area
Posts: 798
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#606 | |||||
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: BC, Canada
Posts: 313
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For you a hearty, Arab, upward jerk of the thumb, Lothar5150. Maybe a little twisting action too. ![]() Quote:
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If something like the Saudis gain power in Iraq I'll say mission accomplished. |
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#607 | |
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Surf City USA
Posts: 433
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#608 | ||||||
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Surf City USA
Posts: 433
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So far as the issue of sovereignty. Of course you should take that position after all sovereignty is the divine right of one single individual by your system of government. However, in the United States we fundamentally believe that the sovereignty of a nation is derived from the will of the Majority and the consent of the minority. In other words the governed are the wellspring of sovereignty. Therefore, any government, which is not elected, is not sovereignty by our fundamental philosophy. Just take a look at our countries respective military oaths. You swear alliance to a single person who by decree has the divine right to rule you. Take my oath to a defend a piece of paper by which my republic is formed. Note that I’m not even obligated to swear alliance to the United States as a Country or to the Presidential Office, Only to the Constitution. I think that this speaks volumes as to our fundamental view of the relationship of the government and the governed. United States I, _____ , having been appointed an officer in the _______ of the United States, as indicated above in the grade of _____ do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign or domestic, that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; that I take this obligation freely, without any mental reservations or purpose of evasion; and that I will well and faithfully discharge the duties of the office upon which I am about to enter; So help me God." Canada I, _________, do swear (solemnly declare) that I will be faithful and bear true allegiance to Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth the Second, her heirs and successors according to law. SO HELP ME GOD (delete if declaration) Quote:
I know you have never been to Iraq, but let me inform you that they have more to offer economically than just oil. In fact, there economy has the potential to mirror my home state of California in its diversity. Quote:
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#609 | |
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: FL
Posts: 787
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I can't imagine how someone who suposedly supports democracy would want one of the last surviving aboslute monarchies to gain power in a place that can potentially be the spark that spreads democracy throught the middle east.
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When you do things right, people won't be sure youv'e done anything at all. Looking to buy/trade for used Deep Fryer and Vacume Pack Sealer. |
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#610 | |||||||||
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: BC, Canada
Posts: 313
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Hey I know: you could force regime change among the United Nations through surgical strikes upon their headquarters - that world forum is bigger game than just a state isn't it? The UN's democratic structure needs an overhaul I say! Quote:
We're very reluctant to deny sovereignty, especially in the absence of a good alternative, because this puts us a position we can't do anything constructive from (who do you talk to?). Denial of sovereignty I see as a prelude to war, a legal and ethical clearing for intervention or annexation. What other uses can it serve? To me your definition of sovereignty seems crafted so that your government may operate freely in a legal abyss. Anyway, we're bound by treaty to recognise and uphold sovereignty in accordance with the principles of the United Nations (Charter article 2.1 "The Organization is based on the principle of the sovereign equality of all its Members"). We don't break treaties or bend them. Your country too is a signatory to the same. Quote:
Well maybe one still can judge a Mountie's rank by the growth of his moustache. Or nowadays, the prominence of his turban. How's that for monkeywrenching my concession? Quote:
Because oil is the dominant commodity traded worldwide, and because your US dollar is the international currency used in oil trade, your country just keeps printing dollars (debt) which everyone needs to buy their oil with. America prints dollars at whim (fiat); the rest of the world trades you (and each other) those slips of paper for real value. That's brought about a complex in global finances called dollar hegemony: we even horde these dollars (your debt) as reserves to look tough on the banking scene. The world effectively subsidises the American economy. Neat, eh? You guys are now heavily in debt, and the rest of us must accept this debt because there's no alternative. I think it's about $20,000 for every American man, woman, and child currently. Enter the euro. The EU buys more oil than the US. This makes it attractive to oil exporters. It also is more stable, wielding something like a basket of currencies. This makes it attractive to all as a reserve currency. Sinking feeling? The euro gains against the dollar. Enter Saddam Hussein. He declares the US dollar "enemy currency" and converts the Oil-for-Food fund into Euros, making an enormous profit instantly as euro builds against the dollar. He decrees that henceforth Iraq's oil must be bought with euros not US dollars.This means oil importers must exchange some of their dollar currency reserves to euro if they want Iraqi oil. It actually looks like a pretty good deal all around. Saddam thinks he has nothing to lose.The dollar slides. Enter the US Marines, straight to the Iraqi Oil Ministry. They liberate it, and Freedom is installed: henceforth, Iraq's oil must be bought with US dollars not euros. Regime changed; mission accomplished. OPEC countries take note. So the war is about oil, as much as it is about your monstrous debt and the shiny new alternative, euro (mark the countries most opposed to the war, something click?). It's basically about protecting American interests, the main interest being the embarrassing necessity of sustaining debt. Of course a justification for war so crassly vicious would not go over well with the American public, or any public, and it isn't very stirring anyway. But your leaders are willing to kill and destroy for this, because for them the health of the economy matters more than the lives or livelihood of foreigners. It's certainly more important than cheap oil for American consumers at the pump (Cheney: "What's so bad about high oil prices?"), and it's more important than another country's economic interests of course. Now the fact is Iraq will do right by its citizens to denominate their fantastic oil wealth (production and reserves) in euros. That was true before regime change, it's truer today, and more yet after elections because your dollar's falling steadily against the euro despite this crucial save from a full tilt run. Now if a country like Iraq repeated that sudden switch, in today's climate, all hell would break loose. You know about the Vietnam domino theory. That, but through the markets of the world, fast as they can carry it. Zip. It's in my interests nobody make any sudden moves, by the way. I don't want a global depression. Your fellow Americans will help to wind the dollar down nice and slow. You can put on a brave face and call it charity. Quote:
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I'm with you superart. I can't imagine how someone who supposedly supports democracy would want anything like the corrupt Saudis pulling the strings. |
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#611 | |||||||
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Surf City USA
Posts: 433
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Here is my position. I am a member of Amnesty International, but I am a realist and I realize that a letter writing campaign to a tyrant is a complete waist of time. Do you honestly think that dictators care about letters? If the guy was not elected and took over by force do you honestly think he has a real conscious you can appeal too. Quote:
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The UN Charter needs some amending. In fact, this is being looked at right now. The fact is that when the UN was formed we had to fully recognize non-democratic nations, because the only 10 democratic nations existed. 121 Democratic nations now exist. I personally believe in the principals of the UN but I have real issue with non-democratic nations having equal voice with democratic nations. Do you honestly think that totalitarian governments like North Korea have there peoples interest in mind? Quote:
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As far as oil, prices are concerned. We hold the trump card. It is called the Strategic Oil Reserve. 30 years of oil in storage. Don’t think for a minute that we cant control the price of oil if we want too. Nevertheless, thanks for the lecture on Macro-Economics ![]() Quote:
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#612 |
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Surf City USA
Posts: 433
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Afghanistan Republic
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#613 | |||||||||
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: BC, Canada
Posts: 313
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You, on the other hand, have a real "conscious" I can appeal to, even if your last sentence was another involuntary projection. *** Alternatives to Amnesty International? Boycotting is illegal in your country, but you can still write letters that are purposeful. I don't try to justify my position to a party. I just figure out the most harm I can do them conveniently and without risk to myself, then tell them what I'm doing and what they have to do to change it. I don't believe government officials (including leaders) are much moved by appeals to conscience, and that's universally true: it hasn't moved North Korea's Kim Jong Il, it didn't move South Africa's de Klerk, and the UK's Tony Blair didn't bat an eye when over a million demonstrators gushed through London. What were they going to do? Give him pause? I think the only forces politicians of any kind can't shirk are threats to their position or personal finances. Position can be threatened by elections or tomahawk missiles. Where the official relies on support from financial elites, then economic "argument" works. Most governments also operate within legal constraints, internal and external, so reminders of their legal obligations work too. Quote:
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I think your concept of sovereignty undeveloped and, well, utterly useless. You must float ballot boxes off shore to maintain territorial waters. Many countries don't legally exist. I ask again: what useful purpose does this serve? That's not a rhetorical question. Quote:
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*** You say "we" "had to" recognise non-democratic countries. But the UN isn't about you, or democratic countries. It's a democratic congress of nations, not a congress of democratic nations. I am open to revising the UN. You say that's prompted by the fact that now democratic governments constitute a majority of the General Assembly. Are you thinking the GA should have more power? Binding resolutions for example? Or maybe your eye for democracy reviews the dictatorial oligarchy of the Security Council? Perhaps the SC dignitaries could have ceremonial function only, and refrain from pronouncements, like Canada's Queen. We could tour them about in a motorcade. Of course SC states would participate fully in the GA and enjoy great respect therein. What do you have in mind? Quote:
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#614 | |||||||||||
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Surf City USA
Posts: 433
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Obviously for practical reasons you must recognize the leader of a nation state which is non-democratic. However, I think that status should be something other than sovereignty. Sovereignty should only be granted to states that derive their power through the ballot box. Further, I think they should hold provisional status in the UN until such time that they become a democratic state. Quote:
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International law will have a place but it is a long way away from protecting the rights individuals. Perhaps when the world is fully democratic we can have international laws as Supreme Law. However, the lager the scope the more nonspecific laws become and I think we are 100 years or so away from democratic world. Quote:
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In the 21st Century, I honestly do not know if you could morally justify vaporizing Pyongyang. If we knew there were no other attacks coming, I think we would go the conventional route. Nukes are primitive, clumsy weapons and we have surgeons now. Quote:
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#615 | ||
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: USA - Boston area
Posts: 798
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Back when the US was ramping up to invasion, when there were street protests before the war, this seemed like the most likely reason for this rush to war, not the series of lame reasons that we got, one after another, until it was finally "support our troops". When we get to "dollar hegemony, it's economics, of course - where there are several conflicting answers for every question ![]() BTW, I'm a fiscal conservative, too. How exactly is the current administration being fiscally conservative? Or do you figure the point of deflating the dollar to be an attempt to reverse the current balance of trade? Didn't we once have a balanced budget? Where'd that go? |
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#616 | |
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Surf City USA
Posts: 433
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Sorry war for dollar hegemony is lunacy. There is a left or a right wing conspiracy theory for why the sun comes up every morning. Wars cost billions and there are no guarantees…as a pure accounting exercise you will loose every time. Canada is the largest supplier of oil to the United States…let me say that again Canada is the largest supplier of oil to the United States. Now all together, Canada is the largest supplier of oil to the United States. The top five largest importers of oil to the US account for 71% of all oil imported and only one is in Southwest Asia (Middle East for old school). Two are just South of the United States one is obviously just North. The fifth country is in Sub-Saharan Africa. The dollar hegemony doesn’t stand to the realities of the oil trade. If we really wanted to get our hands on oil, we could just take down Canada, Mexico and Venezuela. Hell the Cub Scouts could take down Canada with a Hockey stick and a six-pack of Labatt Blue. Despite the present shrinking dollar, our economy is still the most productive in the world. Moreover, will continue to be so in the next century. Look by, 2020 30% of China's population will be over 60 and a third of young males will have not possibility of reproduction due to the imbalance of men to women. 60 is well past productive years for a 2nd world country and I’d say it is likely that a third of the male population will move out of China. Japan and France will have an even larger percentage over 60 the rest of Europe looks much like France. Africa...is largely dying of HIV and I don't say that to be glib, it is a real tragedy. Futility rates in Latin America are below replacement levels and the Middle East has the lowest reproduction rates on the planet. What does this mean? Most of the worlds populations will not have an opportunity to gain wealth before the become old. While most other nations are currently, at there respective economic peeks and can expect to loose productivity over the next 50 years. On the other hand, America has a well educated largely stable population our mean age will max out at 39. This means our economy will remain strong and highly productive compared with all other nations. I think that the present administration is relying too heavily on economic growth to bring down the deficit. The shrinking dollar is reversing the trade deficit, how much will be the question. Right now, the French are screaming bloody murder because they are being killed on exports to the US. In the mean time, many EU investors are buying up property in NYC. As I said in the previous post, we played this same game with Japan. Everyone said the Japanese were going to own America…. You are correct we did have a balanced budget at one time and I would like to see us go back to a balanced budget. However, the present deficit is largely due to tax cuts. I think it is good logic to assume tax cuts stimulate growth but I think you have to cut programs with taxes. The military budget is very streamlined even for a war (just a percent over the Clinton Budget), what do you cut fellow fiscal conservative. |
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#617 |
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: USA - Boston area
Posts: 798
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Yes, of course invading a country to protect dollar hegemony is lunacy. The whole rush to war was lunacy. The stated reasons did not add up and the necessity was not there. So why did they (really "we", but I tried hard to not do it) invade? War on terror? Nah - no connection to alquaida. WMDs? Nah - we didn't let the UN inspector scenario play out. Desire to free Iraqi people from tin-pot despot? Nah - the US has a history of not deposing despots.
So that leaves a rush to war to make sure we're having victory celebrations in time for the Nov presidential elections (possible - seems to have worked in spite of the slow going there). Or possibly some other reason. Protect dollar hegemony? Protect Israel? Shore up relations with Saud family? Special vendetta against Hussein because of an attempt on GWH Bush's life? Something else? If I was going to spend this kind of money and blood to rescue a people, I'd be in Colombia. They want democracy, and are standing up to terrorism in a way that totally shames this country (we get one major terrorist act and end up with the patriot act - they're under much worse assault and are still trying to maintain citizen rights). We've already tried to invade and annex Canada. You know the story, including ol' Benedict not getting the recognition he thought he deserved... As far as Canada now not being able to defend against a hockey stick, well, first, that was totally uncalled for, and second, do you really want to start an asymmetrical war with a country you share a three thousand mile border with? Think they'd stay home or would a sizable minority bring the war to us? It'd be just like Nazi Germany, trying to sort out infiltrators. ("Your papers please...") All that said, if Quebec separates, the Indian nations to the north will try to separate from them, and given the recent history of the Mohawks, this will be armed. We could easily be drawn into that one (and it would be in our national interest to see it settled). If that scenario plays out, it's quite possible that the maritimes might eventually become part of the US. Finally, what would I cut? Well, there's a war that we rushed into. Because of the rush, we're getting essentially no financial backing from the rest of the world - and they'd be idiots to give us money after we rushed right past the consensus process as it would just encourage us to do it again. We probably disagree on the value of consensus. I would guess that, as a Marine, you get very little exposure to it. I live in a consensus based community. My experience with is is that, although it can be slow and unwieldy at times, it does a really good job of keeping you from doing something stupid - or at least knowing that it's stupid before you do it On a more macro level, trying to become "world policeman" on our own is a very bad sign. Seems to me Paul Kennedy's "Rise and Fall of the Great Powers" was on that "Marine University" list. Care to poke some holes in his observations/theories? |
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#618 | ||||
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Surf City USA
Posts: 433
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No disagreement on the value of consensus I believe in democracy enough to die for the idea. Again a misconception of US Military Culture. You have no idea how democratic the planning process is inside the Marine Corps. We practice bottom up planning, top down review. Rational debate occurs at every level, But when the man in charge makes a final decision everyone support that decision as if it were their own. As professionals we all understand that there usually several logical courses of action, and someone has to make the final call. Further, there are times when I don’t expect to be questioned, for instance if we were under fire, I make the call no debate. I contrast that with my experience working with the British. Who have almost pure top down planning, top down review. Almost no debate at any level occurs during the planning process and that is how they ended up with catastrophes like Gallipoli. I personally think that our status forces us to be the world police in some cases. Look at Kosovo, if we did not commit to intervention no one was going to intervene. I haven’t read Kennedy’s book yet but I am intimate with the subject. I think that it is difficult to compare America with previous great powers because our very nature is different. We never seek to hold foreign territory. In countries like Germany and Japan, our troops haven’t remained as occupiers. We are there literally as guest of the host nation. There are no issues of extra territoriality with regard to our citizens or troops. Further, once we have defeated a country it is turned into an autonomous democracy with strong economy. Normally, we continue to have great symbiotic political, military and trade relationships with these counties. Contrast that with the nature of the Colonel European Powers. I think that every one should be very happy that the country that is now the world power is dedicated to the democratization of the world vice the subjugation of the world. Last edited by Lothar5150; 12-09-2004 at 10:09 AM. |
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#619 | |
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: FL
Posts: 787
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__________________
When you do things right, people won't be sure youv'e done anything at all. Looking to buy/trade for used Deep Fryer and Vacume Pack Sealer. |
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#620 |
CoolingWorks Tech Guy Formerly "Unregistered"
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Posts: 2,371.493,106
Posts: 4,440
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the Spanish white blood ? - ohhh, too hot for me (and I have a Latina wife !)
'bout the only good part in the last 10 pages |
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#621 | |
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Surf City USA
Posts: 433
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#622 | ||||||||||
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: BC, Canada
Posts: 313
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------------------------------ Question G8: "Should US/British forces leave immediately (next few months) or stay longer?" Baghdad Immediately 75% Stay longer 21% Shi’ite areas Immediately 61% Stay longer 30% Sunni areas Immediately 65% Stay longer 27% Kurdish areas Immediately 3% Stay longer 96% Total Immediately 57% Stay longer 36% -------------------------------- That 13% is the portion of Iraqis who, when prompted to volunteer random hopes about their futures, said they want US/UK forces to leave the country. That's three times now. Lothar5150, your credibility. Quote:
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Though individuals aren't free to boycott by their own conscience and discretion, government enforced boycott (sanction) is legal. The antiboycott laws are very broad. A Home Depot storeclerk in Mexico for example is covered by the US antiboycott laws when a customer asks where a certain product comes from. The clerk is required to try and identify the individual and submit a report of the incident. Violators can be fined, imprisoned, or put on the "denied persons list" which is essentially a blacklist, a sort of boycott in itself. The foreign storeclerk could be fired and blacklisted for neglecting the antiboycott procedures. The antiboycott laws were originally meant to... er, protect freedom... of Israeli business during the Arab embargo. The US Presbyterian Church so far has skirted antiboycott laws by terming its ethical selection "disinvesting". They make clear this is not boycott. ![]() Quote:
But I get your point: it's more than letter writing can do. The options are: a flakey written appeal to conscience, or charging in with an automatic rifle. This or that. I'll better you: it's more than doodling can do. Or flossing regularly. Way more. You'd have made a stronger point saying we can floss all we like but it won't change the world like opening up with an automatic rifle. "Prisons of conscious" ?! I'm no spelling nazi, but come on, this is creepy. Conscious Conscience Quote:
You refuse to explain what useful purpose it serves. I suppose your goal is to mark the evil ones for pariah status. Let's see where that leads: single out some countries, drive them into corners, strike the rogues, enable new governments indebted to your own, then they get a voice among the United Nations. It won't fly. We made Iraq a pariah state and now most of us realise that was wrong. Better go the South Africa route. Look: that brutal tyrrany was a nuclear power and had a stranglehold on precious resources, yet we moved it allright and not by letter-writing nor military threat. We didn't have to destroy the country to save it. If we'd backed South Africa into a corner by the antidiplomacy you advocate (denial of equal UN membership, etc.) for undemocratic states, we would have failed. Failed because we would have made the situation worse, ultimately violent, extremely violent. No more pariah states, thanks. Quote:
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Some constitutions are modeled after the US Constitution, not all. I challenge you to show how Canada's constitutional documents are modeled after the (older) American. Our Charter of Rights and Freedoms (1982) is largely snippets from the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. Quote:
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Dollar hegemony isn't about US import of oil. It's about US currency used externally to the US. The dominant commodity, oil, is normally bought and sold in US dollars. Your country has agreements with some OPEC countries to keep oil transactions in dollars. When oil flows from Kuwait to Japan, for example, the Japanese pay US dollars because that's what the Emir demands in exchange. So the Japanese must hold US dollars (AKA petrodollars) in reserve, and they must keep sucking up US dollars somehow - the obvious way being to manufacture stuff Americans will buy. For its part, the US can simply print more and more money, which is debt but sustainable so long as the system of dollar hegemony holds. All you have to do is maintain the dollar pricing convention over foreign oil resources, and you effectively own all the oil in the ground everywhere. So imagine the consequences if Kuwait decides to sell oil in euros. How much oil Americans import from Kuwait doesn't matter in this context, you see. Quote:
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#623 | |
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Canada
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#625 | |||||||||||
Cooling Savant
Join Date: Jun 2002
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Further when asked about their greatest fears for Iraq only 26% stated that their biggest fear was continued occupation by the United States. The remaining 74% were largely concerned with security, terrorism, and civil war etc…all stability concerned. Therefore, I suppose my credibility is bad if you focus on a poorly written question whose data is inconsistent with the data set. Quote:
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Here is the deal the US economy is strong because we are the most productive economy on the planet and we have an abundance of diverse natural recourses. It is pretty much that simple. Quote:
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